PolyBot

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Traders

betstaker

0xd3fe2e07253009268c3a6ba3507aa30a2cc82b28

Realised P&L
$-298.64
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8080.792$1.4k$27.84
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1950.207$376.66+$23.15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · Yes0.9041.000$174.88+$16.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · No0.9661.000$103.52+$3.52
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Yes0.1281.000$95.08+$82.89
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · Yes0.9801.000$80.63+$1.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7520.999$72.04+$17.76
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · Yes0.9521.000$68.49+$3.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · No0.8271.000$62.47+$10.79
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.7270.590$60.93$14.11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1530.755$59.97+$47.84
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · Yes0.7661.000$52.87+$12.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? · No0.7861.000$51.77+$11.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7970.825$43.41+$1.45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.945$38.58+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5919998248$1.00
08-04 18:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6239998053$1.00
08-04 18:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6079998346$1.00
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779999673$1.98
08-04 18:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5779999954$1.50
08-04 17:41Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.5999999862$8.69
08-04 16:34Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.027$1.00
08-04 15:40Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999645$3.45
08-04 15:39Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.148999882$1.00
08-04 15:38Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.792$3.42
08-04 15:34Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.75$3.24
08-04 13:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.058999951$1.08
08-04 13:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0479999846$2.92
08-04 09:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899996981$1.57
08-04 08:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899995339$1.00