betstaker
0xd3fe2e07253009268c3a6ba3507aa30a2cc82b28
- Realised P&L
- $-298.64
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.25at 0.607MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.04at 0.956US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$1.48at 0.932US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$1.10at 0.869Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.820Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6239998053 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6079998346 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5779999673 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5779999954 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 17:41 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.5999999862 | $8.69 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:40 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999645 | $3.45 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.148999882 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:38 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.792 | $3.42 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.24 |
| 08-04 13:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.058999951 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 13:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0479999846 | $2.92 |
| 08-04 09:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899996981 | $1.57 |
| 08-04 08:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |