0x7b64e09f384b07534dfF21859A0d27b823aE8440-1774472209075
0x7b64e09f384b07534dff21859a0d27b823ae8440
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $212.7k
- Markets traded
- 841
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded841
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$922.64at 0.590US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$795.51at 0.658US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$220.99at 0.940US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$191.48at 0.645US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$61.71at 0.947Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.82 |
| 10-01 13:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.43 |
| 10-01 13:46 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.52 |
| 10-01 13:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.33 |
| 10-01 13:33 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $52.38 |
| 10-01 13:33 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $41.77 |
| 10-01 13:26 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.597 | $1.21 |
| 10-01 12:59 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.70 |
| 10-01 12:46 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $18.37 |
| 10-01 12:46 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $16.54 |
| 10-01 12:31 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $16.73 |
| 10-01 12:30 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $17.61 |
| 10-01 10:29 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $16.49 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $3.28 |
| 10-01 10:04 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $20.24 |