PolyBot

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Traders

0x7b64e09f384b07534dfF21859A0d27b823aE8440-1774472209075

0x7b64e09f384b07534dff21859a0d27b823ae8440

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$212.7k
Markets traded
841
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded841
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8530.865$355.33+$4.89
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9370.935$336.60−$0.62
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9600.955$101.81−$0.59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.974$93.93+$0.67
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9400.935$93.65−$0.50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.987$78.20+$0.41
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.9000.875$69.99−$2.00
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9480.960$63.51+$0.78
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9600.973$56.93+$0.77
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9250.915$56.93−$0.62
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9440.952$48.68+$0.39
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9500.966$40.25+$0.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.975$38.98+$0.58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9700.974$38.87+$0.13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.925$38.78+$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 13:51SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.41$1.82
10-01 13:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.4$1.43
10-01 13:46Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.9$2.52
10-01 13:34SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.29$2.33
10-01 13:33Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.94$52.38
10-01 13:33Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.94$41.77
10-01 13:26Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.597$1.21
10-01 12:59Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.88$3.70
10-01 12:46Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.69$18.37
10-01 12:46Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.31$16.54
10-01 12:31Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.68$16.73
10-01 12:30Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.33$17.61
10-01 10:29Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.67$16.49
10-01 10:21Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.82$3.28
10-01 10:04Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.23$20.24