Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.322. down 0.033 over the period, from 0.355. Range 0.317 to 0.355. 17 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.322	1,646	1,646
0.323	5,659	7,306
0.324	6,185	13,490
0.325	18,500	31,990
0.326	10,200	42,190
0.327	10,874	53,065
0.328	200	53,265
0.330	200	53,465
0.331	2,805	56,270
0.332	39,431	95,700
0.333	2,500	98,200
0.334	2,700	100,900

Spread0.001Mid0.322

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.321	84	84
0.319	22	106
0.318	29,413	29,519
0.317	33,001	62,520
0.316	62,657	125,177
0.315	31,573	156,750
0.313	3,000	159,750
0.312	10,500	170,250
0.311	17,961	188,211
0.310	30,000	218,211
0.309	50,406	268,617
0.308	2,200	270,817

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.679	84	84
0.681	22	106
0.682	29,413	29,519
0.683	33,001	62,520
0.684	62,657	125,177
0.685	31,573	156,750
0.687	3,000	159,750
0.688	10,500	170,250
0.689	17,961	188,211
0.690	30,000	218,211
0.691	50,406	268,617
0.692	2,200	270,817

Spread0.001Mid0.679

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.678	1,646	1,646
0.677	5,659	7,306
0.676	6,185	13,490
0.675	18,500	31,990
0.674	10,200	42,190
0.673	10,874	53,065
0.672	200	53,265
0.670	200	53,465
0.669	2,805	56,270
0.668	39,431	95,700
0.667	2,500	98,200
0.666	2,700	100,900

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lissartter	Yes	3,114.78
puravida	Yes	2,784.97
chessplayer	Yes	968.96
Digital-Boy	Yes	871.97
xinyuan	Yes	500
0xa169…1b73	Yes	454.85
AJSV	Yes	277.33
cmnd7w	Yes	200
paddaa	No	7,553.43
CT-test	No	615.24
0opj4kuu4xb2	No	513.16
Majas	No	200
1walrus	No	83.85
0xa5ef…2966	No	77.33
0x86f0…610c	No	44.65
big-bird1	No	32.56
jenendiic834	No	25.17
KiraHK1	No	18.3
flyxiaye	No	9.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:53:32	SELL	Yes	0.321	16	$5.18
06:25:10	SELL	No	0.678	200	$135.60
06:25:00	SELL	No	0.678	200	$135.60
06:24:12	BUY	Yes	0.322	500	$161.00
06:20:00	SELL	No	0.6795	200	$135.90
05:12:45	BUY	Yes	0.319	228	$72.62
04:44:03	SELL	No	0.681	5	$3.28
04:43:41	SELL	No	0.681	6	$4.25
04:43:41	SELL	No	0.681	200	$136.20
04:43:41	SELL	No	0.6818314721	99	$67.16
04:43:39	SELL	No	0.682	118	$80.54
04:43:39	SELL	No	0.683	1,450	$990.35
23:25:26	SELL	No	0.683	14	$9.49
23:25:26	SELL	No	0.683	1	$0.59
23:25:26	SELL	No	0.683	16	$11.13
23:25:24	SELL	Yes	0.316	200	$63.20
20:54:48	SELL	No	0.652	0	$0.24
20:54:08	BUY	No	0.671	71	$47.64
20:53:45	SELL	Yes	0.318	200	$63.60
20:53:36	BUY	No	0.6697619048	1,050	$703.25
20:52:24	SELL	Yes	0.331	100	$33.10
20:52:14	BUY	No	0.6679244193	45	$29.82
20:51:51	BUY	No	0.667	18	$12.21
20:51:51	SELL	Yes	0.333	350	$116.55
20:51:39	BUY	No	0.6669999999	30	$20.00