PolyBot

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Traders

cmnd7w

0xa39dce6d77303e97ac549d59392551e17a97511b

Realised P&L
$-284.04
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$661.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.6800.675$67.50−$0.50
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3500.322$64.30−$5.70
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? · Yes0.6500.575$57.50−$7.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.3700.355$44.73−$1.89
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3900.355$35.50−$3.50
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.6600.581$34.83−$4.77
Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October? · No0.7300.625$31.25−$5.25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.7200.677$30.90−$1.96
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.6400.565$28.25−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.7100.680$27.20−$1.20
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3300.244$24.40−$8.60
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? · Yes0.4500.225$22.50−$22.50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October? · No0.6110.556$22.26−$2.18
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.4110.391$19.55−$1.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? · Yes0.5890.473$18.94−$4.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 10:31Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? BUY0.4$8.00
10-13 10:00Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?BUY0.2$2.40
10-13 09:42Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5719999945$24.36
10-13 09:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?BUY0.62$5.58
10-13 09:31Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?BUY0.84$36.55
10-13 08:18Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.55$14.85
10-13 08:02Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.68$3.40
10-13 08:02Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.3399999998$36.00
10-13 07:06Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.75$15.00
10-13 07:06Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.75$11.25
10-13 06:32Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.68$68.00
10-13 06:17Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.57$27.93
10-13 05:48Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?BUY0.8099999995$44.28
10-13 05:32Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.44$2.20
10-13 05:02Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.51$5.10