b4rbed
0x85b5359eb2ede6aa8c9c9b0ea01453da667c3c42
- Realised P&L
- $-350.73
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $65.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.67at 0.300Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$78.24at 0.200UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$66.28at 0.430UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$21.00at 0.700Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$13.29at 0.790UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:16 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.48 |
| 08-02 16:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999369 | $2.98 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.91 |
| 08-02 15:27 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.22 |
| 08-02 14:05 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 06:56 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.29 |
| 08-01 06:46 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 04:56 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999764 | $2.24 |
| 07-31 17:55 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.931 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 14:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.478 | $0.68 |
| 07-31 14:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.472 | $0.67 |
| 07-31 12:00 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:57 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:48 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $3.70 |
| 07-31 10:48 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $3.46 |