leviyuan-smart
0x86f062eb7c1b364d4573f25ea3fbaff70f9a610c
- Realised P&L
- $-116.38
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.40at 0.643Heat vs. Rockets
- +$92.76at 0.350Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$65.77at 0.515Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
- +$62.85at 0.329Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
- +$57.52at 0.470Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 04:41 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4747649866 | $29.90 |
| 10-27 16:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 04:12 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $29.70 |
| 10-18 08:28 | Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $29.88 |
| 10-14 13:32 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999934 | $29.67 |
| 10-13 17:30 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.7102819694 | $29.93 |
| 10-13 06:23 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5099999971 | $29.92 |
| 10-13 04:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $29.96 |
| 10-12 20:52 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.6679244193 | $29.82 |
| 10-12 18:54 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $29.96 |
| 10-11 02:34 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $30.00 |
| 10-09 23:53 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6899999935 | $29.93 |
| 10-07 20:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.19 |
| 10-06 14:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 23:42 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.5299999939 | $29.50 |