KiraHK1
0xa87fd530e77d3b30a9148da21e248bf9f1ab864d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $185.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,074
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,074
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.01at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$315.62at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$270.03at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$263.94at 0.305Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$262.14at 0.689Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:44 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.775 | $11.45 |
| 09-16 21:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 19:48 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-16 19:41 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.58 |
| 09-16 17:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.69 |
| 09-16 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $12.20 |
| 09-16 09:41 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-16 01:55 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-16 00:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.10 |
| 09-15 22:03 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.599 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:38 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $9.28 |
| 09-15 19:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.34 |
| 09-15 17:40 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-15 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.16 |