PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LFPB&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.14 to 0.38. 21 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.386464
0.39393457
0.405462
0.5020482
0.5740522
0.6930552
0.7012564
0.727571
0.739580
0.748588
0.7538626
0.768634

Spread0.04Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.344545
0.33369414
0.325419
0.2722441
0.2045486
0.1828514
0.1729543
0.1450593
0.1357650
0.0839689
0.07214903
0.055908

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.664545
0.67369414
0.685419
0.7322441
0.8045486
0.8228514
0.8329543
0.8650593
0.8757650
0.9239689
0.93214903
0.955908

Spread0.04Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.626464
0.61393457
0.605462
0.5020482
0.4340522
0.3130552
0.3012564
0.287571
0.279580
0.268588
0.2538626
0.248634

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Z7dk3Yes181.3
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes75.69
hfvYes44.81
gaaaydogggggYes24.5
0x973Yes10
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes8.87
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes5
bhuumiYes5
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudNo119
0xa5ef…2966No49.12
dami-1No42.06
BilberryNo29.42
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408No24
twobonclayNo20.77
OnlyLuckNoBrain2No19
a5533No14.75
TakeYourTemperatureNo13.54
weatherwhatNo12.82
DimikNo6.05
Welcome2026No2.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:11:30BUYNo0.669333333330$20.08
22:33:13BUYNo0.725$3.78
21:29:13BUYYes0.2720$5.40
21:29:12BUYYes0.26108147576$19.76
18:12:57BUYNo0.7717372576$4.67
18:12:03BUYNo0.7824$18.72
18:11:58BUYNo0.779999989113$10.00
18:11:55BUYNo0.781$1.00
18:11:55BUYNo0.781$1.00
18:11:55BUYNo0.779999998514$10.56
18:11:55BUYNo0.776090646329$22.83
18:11:54BUYNo0.781$1.00
18:11:54BUYNo0.77999987641$1.01
18:11:54BUYNo0.7842$32.81
18:11:54BUYNo0.779999991321$16.20
18:00:03BUYNo0.7916$12.64
16:28:36BUYNo0.7820$15.60
16:28:36BUYNo0.775631068103$79.89
10:08:07BUYYes0.2520$5.00
10:08:06BUYYes0.2319$4.37
10:08:03BUYYes0.225$1.10