OnlyLuckNoBrain2
0x53685989c332366675257535f28abd6d17782d62
- Realised P&L
- $9.9k
- Volume
- $660.2k
- Markets traded
- 5,606
- Open portfolio
- $772.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,606
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.020Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
- +$900.98at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on August 25?
- +$816.66at 0.020Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on September 4?
- +$758.44at 0.062Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13?
- +$427.64at 0.026Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.08 |
| 09-25 14:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.20 |
| 09-25 13:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.89 |
| 09-25 05:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $21.30 |
| 09-25 05:20 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-25 03:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.25 |
| 09-25 03:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 09-24 23:42 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.76 | $10.77 |
| 09-24 23:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.34 | $23.28 |
| 09-24 17:54 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.73 | $8.34 |
| 09-24 11:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.65 | $39.00 |
| 09-24 10:12 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.63 | $16.66 |
| 09-24 04:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $8.33 |
| 09-24 00:59 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.33 |
| 09-24 00:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.02 |