PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OnlyLuckNoBrain2

0x53685989c332366675257535f28abd6d17782d62

Realised P&L
$9.9k
Volume
$660.2k
Markets traded
5,606
Open portfolio
$772.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,606
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 2? · Yes0.2890.530$54.59+$24.86
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2? · No0.5430.630$51.66+$7.14
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.6360.750$46.97+$7.12
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3? · No0.6350.680$46.92+$3.09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2? · Yes0.4010.410$45.51+$0.98
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2? · Yes0.1700.435$38.10+$23.21
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? · No0.5250.410$33.45−$9.35
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 3? · No0.8400.920$31.28+$2.72
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3? · No0.7770.765$29.07−$0.47
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 3? · No0.6650.615$27.68−$2.23
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on November 2? · No0.5940.535$26.75−$2.95
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on November 2? · Yes0.3780.996$25.16+$15.60
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on November 2? · No0.5901.000$24.98+$10.23
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 3? · Yes0.2100.255$22.39+$3.95
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 1? · No0.6901.000$20.99+$6.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:05Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 26?BUY0.24$2.08
09-25 14:01Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.68$1.20
09-25 13:19Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 26?BUY0.75$6.89
09-25 05:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.05$21.30
09-25 05:20Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26?BUY0.33$1.65
09-25 03:54Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26?BUY0.25$10.25
09-25 03:51Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 26?BUY0.64$9.60
09-24 23:42Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 26?SELL0.76$10.77
09-24 23:27Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.34$23.28
09-24 17:54Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 26?BUY0.73$8.34
09-24 11:50Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 26?BUY0.65$39.00
09-24 10:12Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 26?BUY0.63$16.66
09-24 04:49Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.78$8.33
09-24 00:59Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.35$8.33
09-24 00:26Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 25?BUY0.22$9.02