PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weatherwhat

0xa0161e41c059c3c6662d96f7f07226dbfb6067c2

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$126.0k
Markets traded
5,007
Open portfolio
$294.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,007
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? · No0.7980.770$14.48−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 28? · No0.7000.760$13.03+$1.03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 28? · Yes0.4260.420$11.84−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28? · Yes0.5210.600$11.52+$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29? · Yes0.2700.235$8.70−$1.30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 29? · Yes0.3680.420$7.98+$0.98
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 28? · Yes0.4920.900$7.95+$3.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29? · Yes0.2950.290$7.87−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29? · Yes0.3330.470$6.10+$1.77
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 29? · Yes0.3990.465$5.83+$0.83
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on September 28? · Yes0.5230.950$5.45+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29? · Yes0.2890.225$5.45−$1.55
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 29? · No0.8700.890$5.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 28? · Yes0.3590.305$5.09−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29? · No0.7960.795$4.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:36Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?SELL0.994$4.22
09-28 14:10Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 28?SELL0.999$4.62
09-28 14:10Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29?BUY0.78$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30?BUY0.08$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.27$0.23
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 30?BUY0.32$1.00
09-28 14:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.58$1.21
09-28 14:10Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 29?SELL0.42$0.70
09-28 13:10Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.5$1.00
09-28 13:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 30?BUY0.9$1.00
09-28 13:10Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 29?BUY0.5$1.00
09-28 13:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?BUY0.84$1.00