weatherwhat
0xa0161e41c059c3c6662d96f7f07226dbfb6067c2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $126.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,007
- Open portfolio
- $294.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.20at 0.238Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?
- +$26.52at 0.311Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?
- +$23.94at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?
- +$23.36at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 11?
- +$23.27at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.22 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.62 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.27 | $0.23 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.21 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 29? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.70 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |