Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.032. Range 0.004 to 0.047. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	19	19
0.030	11	30
0.033	61	91
0.045	20	111
0.046	60	171
0.132	60	231
0.150	333	564
0.290	1,111	1,675
0.399	60	1,735
0.400	5	1,740
0.590	5	1,745
0.740	80	1,825

Spread0.017Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	255	255

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	255	255

Spread0.017Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	19	19
0.970	11	30
0.967	61	91
0.955	20	111
0.954	60	171
0.868	60	231
0.850	333	564
0.710	1,111	1,675
0.601	60	1,735
0.600	5	1,740
0.410	5	1,745
0.260	80	1,825

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Fuadkrm7	Yes	245
2B9S	Yes	120
AJSV	Yes	65.89
KiruaTrading	Yes	60
packling	Yes	50
.Menthe	Yes	50
cigarettes	Yes	50
Numitus1994	Yes	42
jackli003	Yes	31.68
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	19
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
wwder	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	No	714.63
DEGENKHAN	No	60
Elias.Thornwell	No	5.96
bigdihhh888	No	2.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:32:21	SELL	Yes	0.003	245	$0.73
09:09:15	SELL	Yes	0.001	5	$0.01
22:24:43	SELL	Yes	0.001	50	$0.05
17:47:33	SELL	Yes	0.004	50	$0.20
09:24:05	BUY	Yes	0.0095232	50	$0.48
04:24:54	SELL	Yes	0.001	91	$0.09
23:07:08	SELL	Yes	0.00205	20	$0.04
23:07:05	SELL	Yes	0.003	20	$0.06
22:27:14	SELL	Yes	0.003	40	$0.12
22:27:07	SELL	Yes	0.003	40	$0.12
22:25:31	SELL	Yes	0.0052	50	$0.26
22:25:31	BUY	No	0.997	20	$19.94
22:24:53	SELL	Yes	0.0303921712	82	$2.50
22:24:43	BUY	No	0.9573932105	715	$684.18
22:24:41	BUY	No	0.966	50	$48.30
22:24:41	BUY	No	0.9659999997	123	$118.80
15:16:27	BUY	No	0.98	60	$58.80