packling
0x2627044c4372a279f9df2e97789e6452cc260587
- Realised P&L
- $-578.16
- Volume
- $93.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $96.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.013 | $96.15 | −$3.84 |
| Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.011 | $0.57 | +$0.10 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.79at 0.630Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
- +$70.25at 0.017Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.26at 0.0639.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- +$7.09at 0.457Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.98at 0.316Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:24 | Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.0095232 | $0.48 |
| 09-28 10:49 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.013 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 05:45 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.015 | $59.96 |
| 06-25 11:56 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.0084869473 | $186.04 |
| 06-20 00:43 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.067 | $67.00 |
| 06-09 14:39 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.9955957686 | $655.98 |
| 06-01 03:02 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $31.09 |
| 05-30 17:33 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.54 | $17.42 |
| 05-30 17:17 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 17:13 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 05-30 13:07 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 05-23 07:55 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0514649366 | $9.00 |
| 05-19 07:40 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0464810472 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 02:38 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 06:22 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0513681669 | $10.00 |