Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 2.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.028. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.024 to 0.042. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	1,174	1,174
0.030	1,002	2,176
0.031	1,201	3,377
0.032	345	3,722
0.033	125	3,847
0.035	324	4,171
0.036	1,500	5,671
0.037	5,117	10,788
0.038	1,430	12,218
0.039	2,000	14,218
0.044	500	14,718
0.045	479	15,197

Spread0.001Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	99	99
0.026	900	999
0.025	2,602	3,601
0.023	720	4,321
0.022	466	4,787
0.021	301	5,088
0.020	220	5,308
0.019	200	5,508
0.017	1,040	6,548
0.015	80	6,628
0.012	1,833	8,461
0.011	1,409	9,870

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	99	99
0.974	900	999
0.975	2,602	3,601
0.977	720	4,321
0.978	466	4,787
0.979	301	5,088
0.980	220	5,308
0.981	200	5,508
0.983	1,040	6,548
0.985	80	6,628
0.988	1,833	8,461
0.989	1,409	9,870

Spread0.001Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	1,174	1,174
0.970	1,002	2,176
0.969	1,201	3,377
0.968	345	3,722
0.967	125	3,847
0.965	324	4,171
0.964	1,500	5,671
0.963	5,117	10,788
0.962	1,430	12,218
0.961	2,000	14,218
0.956	500	14,718
0.955	479	15,197

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
-FROMTHEFUTURE-	Yes	1,542.1
trashtier	Yes	1,174.32
Contestable-Parfait	Yes	822
Martys	Yes	750
AJSV	Yes	310.94
Numitus1994	Yes	240.92
ScottyNooo	Yes	200
PaddyAlpha	Yes	168.75
thecaricature	Yes	107.52
Dr.PNL	Yes	57.37
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	50
v54t1	Yes	39.38
0x1241399eE9788aB69ED0F60DFC76B72334876Ec9-1772090947523	Yes	34.84
0xF43C67937086e45077cF3FCae764A08d096026b9-1774928912390	Yes	33.55
liesarenotonrode	Yes	33.44
UniLB	Yes	31.25
0x5449…992b	Yes	26.2
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	22
0xb6ce…895d	Yes	21
velorot	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:26:48	BUY	Yes	0.027	585	$15.79
08:25:20	BUY	Yes	0.026	286	$7.44
20:07:36	SELL	Yes	0.025	230	$5.75
18:23:56	SELL	Yes	0.0246572574	671	$16.54
18:02:18	SELL	Yes	0.025	200	$5.00
18:02:17	SELL	Yes	0.0260085865	1,160	$30.17
15:51:38	SELL	Yes	0.0276970758	625	$17.32
15:49:50	SELL	Yes	0.0290266503	514	$14.91
15:49:18	SELL	Yes	0.03	1,214	$36.41
12:42:14	BUY	Yes	0.033	670	$22.12
12:39:18	SELL	No	0.967	222	$214.67
12:38:54	BUY	Yes	0.031	222	$6.88
11:25:09	BUY	Yes	0.028	236	$6.61
11:21:17	BUY	Yes	0.028	200	$5.60
11:21:15	BUY	Yes	0.0267349235	1,817	$48.57
11:17:06	BUY	Yes	0.025	571	$14.28
09:25:14	SELL	No	0.975	86	$84.05
08:04:35	BUY	Yes	0.025	700	$17.50
06:06:57	BUY	Yes	0.025	100	$2.50
05:49:06	BUY	Yes	0.025	100	$2.50
05:48:35	BUY	Yes	0.025	200	$5.00
23:01:30	BUY	Yes	0.025	200	$5.00
21:00:02	BUY	Yes	0.0259999996	38	$1.00
20:59:48	SELL	Yes	0.022	168	$3.70
20:59:32	SELL	Yes	0.023	200	$4.60