Contestable-Parfait
0xc301c1e034e71e1a6ce9684f029c4674a00466aa
- Realised P&L
- $105.70
- Volume
- $63.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $44.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.00at 0.200US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
- +$12.68at 0.947US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
- +$-38.50at 0.885Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:43 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BUY | 0.076 | $5.87 |
| 10-18 14:41 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $267.56 |
| 10-18 14:41 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $612.86 |
| 10-18 04:34 | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BUY | 0.1339884382 | $13.67 |
| 10-18 03:19 | Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | BUY | 0.8340730409 | $293.02 |
| 10-18 03:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $734.70 |
| 10-17 03:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.0k |
| 10-17 00:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.776 | $3.3k |
| 10-16 21:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.764 | $2.7k |
| 10-16 19:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.953 | $38.12 |
| 10-16 18:55 | Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.58 | $92.80 |
| 10-16 17:08 | Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $382.87 |
| 10-16 17:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.768 | $3.9k |