PolyBot

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Traders

-FROMTHEFUTURE-

0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d

Realised P&L
$-9.3k
Volume
$6.07M
Markets traded
562
Open portfolio
$398.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded562
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0280.036$100.96+$22.33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0270.028$42.41+$1.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? · Yes0.0110.011$42.33−$1.73
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0090.013$36.25+$11.34
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.056$28.84+$1.07
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · Yes0.0370.027$22.42−$8.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.0420.026$20.80−$13.20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0240.013$19.28−$17.04
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0230.015$17.22−$7.93
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · Yes0.1310.133$13.25+$0.15
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · Yes0.0690.045$12.32−$6.48
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.0550.045$11.13−$2.41
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0080.005$8.84−$5.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0100.011$4.60+$0.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? · Yes0.0080.007$4.11−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:26Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.027$15.79
10-20 08:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?SELL0.001$1.84
10-20 08:34Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.039$4.43
10-20 08:33Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.0373052095$8.92
10-20 08:25Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.026$7.44
10-20 08:20Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.07$3.39
10-20 08:18Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.07$13.57
10-20 08:17Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.0402982643$8.68
10-20 08:05Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.013$0.20
10-20 02:24Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.011$0.28
10-20 02:21Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.01$0.28
10-20 02:17Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.009$0.14
10-19 23:53Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.023$0.26
10-19 23:44Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.029$29.53
10-19 23:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?BUY0.008$3.90