-FROMTHEFUTURE-
0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $6.07M
- Markets traded
- 562
- Open portfolio
- $398.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded562
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.006Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
- +$955.62at 0.208Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$903.69at 0.073Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$718.48at 0.146US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$668.46at 0.692US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:26 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.027 | $15.79 |
| 10-20 08:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.84 |
| 10-20 08:34 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.039 | $4.43 |
| 10-20 08:33 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.0373052095 | $8.92 |
| 10-20 08:25 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.44 |
| 10-20 08:20 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.39 |
| 10-20 08:18 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $13.57 |
| 10-20 08:17 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.0402982643 | $8.68 |
| 10-20 08:05 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.20 |
| 10-20 02:24 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.28 |
| 10-20 02:21 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.28 |
| 10-20 02:17 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.14 |
| 10-19 23:53 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.26 |
| 10-19 23:44 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.029 | $29.53 |
| 10-19 23:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.90 |