PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1241399eE9788aB69ED0F60DFC76B72334876Ec9-1772090947523

0x1241399ee9788ab69ed0f60dfc76b72334876ec9

Realised P&L
$14.97
Volume
$198.79
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0310.032$1.10+$0.02
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston · Hugo Gaston0.3900.000$0.00−$1.83
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00−$2.17
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$6.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 22:01Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0309999997$1.08
09-28 01:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.83999997$2.24
09-19 11:04Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9429999955$10.20
08-28 18:03Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.3499999807$8.18
08-16 20:21Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.9359999159$5.70
07-25 15:13Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo GastonBUY0.3899999275$1.83
07-12 15:52Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.9669999985$10.34
06-28 07:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.9899999021$1.82
06-19 10:55Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9319999972$14.41
06-12 22:00Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.5299999892$4.41
06-05 16:59Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.4599999825$9.46
05-30 11:25US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY0.8599997214$1.42
05-27 08:09Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?BUY0.9059995832$1.90
05-25 11:32US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?BUY0.9669999894$2.37
05-24 18:05Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.5899999918$3.58