PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 4?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.175. up 0.040 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.030 to 0.175. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2331010
0.234515
0.2361025
0.240530
0.287838
0.289644
0.2901155
0.300560
0.32070131
0.3405136
0.3505141
0.3905146

Spread0.116Mid0.175

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1171515
0.0813853
0.0803588
0.070694
0.06617111
0.0606117
0.0406123
0.03338161
0.0306167
0.02011178
0.01645223
0.0156229

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8831515
0.9193853
0.9203588
0.930694
0.93417111
0.9406117
0.9606123
0.96738161
0.9706167
0.98011178
0.98445223
0.9856229

Spread0.116Mid0.825

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7671010
0.766515
0.7641025
0.760530
0.713838
0.711644
0.7101155
0.700560
0.68070131
0.6605136
0.6505141
0.6105146

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x1c98…f6a0Yes224.06
totorooooYes177.54
0x4add…6fe5Yes81.29
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes77.24
plm18Yes64
LJW1Yes59.33
open0001Yes59.03
arsenal85Yes49.99
KaiLuoYes47.6
StayFreshCheeseBagsYes31.38
Fate-CasterYes30
PoligarchYes24.45
2B9SYes20
ghorrockYes19.68
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225Yes15.4
lunarbard802Yes12.55
0xB70430e27986A520c72055053407AeD29DaC0de9-1784962221380Yes10
BoxOfficeD7Yes10
SincereSpine3255Yes6
t3uYes6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:11:05SELLYes0.1035$0.52
11:11:04BUYNo0.8975$4.49
11:03:02BUYYes0.2995$1.49
11:02:31BUYYes0.181351562564$11.61
10:57:52SELLYes0.05073637714$0.69
10:54:53BUYYes0.10559$6.20
10:52:50BUYYes0.097999995413$1.23
10:52:05SELLYes0.041290275834$1.42
10:19:11BUYYes0.043548$2.07
10:18:49BUYNo0.95863$60.05
10:17:04BUYNo0.94163$59.12
10:16:35BUYNo0.939423076926$24.42
10:15:43BUYNo0.935$4.66
10:15:32BUYNo0.927564782623$21.33
10:15:22BUYNo0.92615$13.89
10:11:41BUYYes0.086038602657$4.93
10:09:17BUYYes0.078553809367$5.25
10:05:13BUYYes0.0586803100$5.87
10:02:19BUYNo0.9705855043107$104.32
10:01:37BUYYes0.05150$2.55
09:36:02BUYNo0.97450$48.70
09:34:53BUYNo0.97365485587$84.63
09:34:04BUYNo0.975$4.85
09:28:41BUYYes0.046812408948$2.25
09:17:40BUYNo0.973133192447$46.03