totoroooo
0x5ddb835bfb16e741ef7b0411c88ef3eef08d3fa9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $535.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,721
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,721
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.024Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?
- +$1.0kat 0.302Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
- +$1.0kat 0.022Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?
- +$514.13at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?
- +$485.25at 0.735Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-09 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.32 |
| 10-09 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-09 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.70 |
| 10-09 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.076 | $1.52 |
| 10-08 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.77669674 | $20.49 |
| 10-08 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7993975859 | $86.10 |
| 10-08 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.649 | $5.19 |
| 10-08 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.01 |
| 10-08 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0872582103 | $2.90 |
| 10-08 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.117 | $1.17 |
| 10-08 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.98 |
| 10-08 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.094 | $0.47 |
| 10-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.089 | $0.76 |
| 10-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.28 |