KaiLuo
0xb4a0f89d213e065ccafc8b68d3c964e091ab9d29
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $199.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,703
- Open portfolio
- $12.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,703
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.45at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?
- +$85.21at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8?
- +$79.45at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8?
- +$70.13at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?
- +$66.07at 0.131Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.42 |
| 09-22 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 09-22 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.27 | $6.30 |
| 09-22 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.17 |
| 09-22 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-22 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-22 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.24 |
| 09-22 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-22 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-22 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-22 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.16 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.16 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.10 |