PolyBot

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Traders

KaiLuo

0xb4a0f89d213e065ccafc8b68d3c964e091ab9d29

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$199.6k
Markets traded
1,703
Open portfolio
$12.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,703
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? · Yes0.2700.505$9.09+$4.23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22? · Yes0.0700.085$2.13+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 22? · Yes0.0030.011$1.05+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 22? · Yes0.0080.004$0.46$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 22? · Yes0.0050.001$0.13$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 22? · Yes0.0010.001$0.09$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 22? · Yes0.0190.001$0.02$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on July 1? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14? · No0.0100.000$0.00$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 13? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 20? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 18:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?SELL0.4$3.42
09-22 17:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?BUY0.25$1.25
09-22 17:51Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22?BUY0.07$1.75
09-22 17:41Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22?BUY0.27$6.30
09-22 16:47Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?SELL0.09$1.17
09-22 16:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22?SELL0.03$0.60
09-22 16:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?SELL0.14$0.70
09-22 16:34Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?BUY0.18$3.24
09-22 16:34Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?SELL0.71$3.55
09-22 16:34Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?SELL0.71$3.55
09-22 16:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?BUY0.79$3.95
09-22 16:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?BUY0.79$3.95
09-22 15:51Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?SELL0.32$4.16
09-22 15:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?BUY0.16$2.16
09-22 15:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 22?SELL0.025$0.10