0x1c9824df1a7740fede1d4707c1d59f63be1cf6a0
0x1c9824df1a7740fede1d4707c1d59f63be1cf6a0
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $223.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,424
- Open portfolio
- $105.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.83at 0.011Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$214.80at 0.762Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23?
- +$206.70at 0.654Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 21?
- +$198.70at 0.665Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 29?
- +$193.79at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.68 | $21.56 |
| 09-22 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.6867024228 | $37.13 |
| 09-22 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-22 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.27 |
| 09-22 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.83 | $9.13 |
| 09-22 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.8053748314 | $41.79 |
| 09-22 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.8081132075 | $21.41 |
| 09-22 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.8100189753 | $4.27 |
| 09-22 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.18 |
| 09-22 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.81 | $15.52 |
| 09-22 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.7812680578 | $34.07 |
| 09-22 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9122555663 | $47.12 |
| 09-22 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.71 | $12.78 |
| 09-22 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.7190097435 | $36.16 |
| 09-22 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.8486397813 | $37.25 |