PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sswlnl77

0x4addc66860b349959cb5070a83dbd9eeb6836fe5

Realised P&L
$6.4k
Volume
$406.3k
Markets traded
5,187
Open portfolio
$526.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,187
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? · Yes0.2011.000$44.30+$35.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26? · Yes0.2231.000$38.24+$29.71
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26? · Yes0.0661.000$26.42+$24.67
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 26? · Yes0.6021.000$19.99+$7.94
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · Yes0.3551.000$18.99+$12.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26? · Yes0.4651.000$17.99+$9.62
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? · No0.7780.945$17.03+$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26? · No0.4181.000$16.99+$9.88
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.1950.805$16.91+$12.80
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26? · Yes0.3771.000$16.12+$10.04
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.0861.000$15.59+$14.24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 26? · Yes0.3261.000$14.24+$9.59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? · Yes0.2071.000$13.99+$11.09
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? · No0.2801.000$12.99+$9.35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 26? · No0.9081.000$10.99+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.0495717761$1.30
09-26 15:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.6$1.20
09-26 15:38Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?BUY0.38$1.52
09-26 15:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.46$1.38
09-26 14:54Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?BUY0.08$1.44
09-26 14:46Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.1044822903$1.21
09-26 14:31Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.56$1.68
09-26 14:17Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.21$1.89
09-26 14:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.56$2.80
09-26 13:55Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?BUY0.2799999871$3.48
09-26 13:48Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.57$3.99
09-26 13:25Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.06$1.20
09-26 13:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.17$1.36
09-26 13:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.72$1.44
09-26 13:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.0734837228$1.36