sswlnl77
0x4addc66860b349959cb5070a83dbd9eeb6836fe5
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $406.3k
- Markets traded
- 5,187
- Open portfolio
- $526.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,187
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$737.87at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?
- +$565.73at 0.109Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
- +$452.93at 0.044Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?
- +$407.68at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?
- +$368.49at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0495717761 | $1.30 |
| 09-26 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.52 |
| 09-26 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.38 |
| 09-26 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.44 |
| 09-26 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.1044822903 | $1.21 |
| 09-26 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.68 |
| 09-26 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.89 |
| 09-26 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2799999871 | $3.48 |
| 09-26 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.99 |
| 09-26 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 09-26 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.44 |
| 09-26 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0734837228 | $1.36 |