Fate-Caster
0xee8848ce411a2d15499e9d178122947980c188aa
- Realised P&L
- $6.02
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $6.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.23at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?
- +$1.12at 0.043Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?
- +$0.22at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?
- +$0.00at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 4?
- +$-0.06at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.97 |
| 10-04 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-04 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.089 | $2.07 |
| 10-04 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.099 | $0.49 |
| 10-04 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.0858394544 | $0.82 |
| 10-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.47 |
| 10-04 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.03 |
| 10-04 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.28 |
| 10-04 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.11 |
| 10-04 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 10-04 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 10-04 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 10-04 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 10-04 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-04 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.086 | $0.86 |