PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Fate-Caster

0xee8848ce411a2d15499e9d178122947980c188aa

Realised P&L
$6.02
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$6.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 06:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.15$0.97
10-04 06:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?SELL0.14$1.40
10-04 06:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.089$2.07
10-04 06:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?SELL0.099$0.49
10-04 06:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.0858394544$0.82
10-04 06:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.08$0.47
10-04 05:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?SELL0.2$1.03
10-04 05:36Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.006$0.28
10-04 05:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.15$2.11
10-04 05:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.016$0.16
10-04 04:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.66$1.32
10-04 03:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.34$2.72
10-04 01:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 4?BUY0.007$0.70
10-04 00:48Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?BUY0.53$2.65
10-04 00:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?SELL0.086$0.86