PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5

Realised P&L
$158.3k
Volume
$3.39M
Markets traded
57,212
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded57,212
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6610.724$4.4k+$383.56
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3190.276$619.69−$96.00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7370.715$299.10−$9.11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5870.561$271.19−$12.44
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.7000.649$244.13−$19.07
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8570.733$197.83−$33.60
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0280.016$156.62−$115.28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2890.255$146.94−$19.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.555$109.70+$102.64
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · No0.8330.815$98.42−$2.21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9840.988$82.32+$0.26
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.9580.977$77.33+$1.54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.439$53.75+$49.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2? · No0.9680.957$46.22−$0.55
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5350.525$41.22−$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?BUY0.4$3.25
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.25$1.26
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3?BUY0.989$20.02
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3?BUY0.989$5.12
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.005$0.03
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?BUY0.0090376176$0.03
11-02 00:11Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$11.88
11-02 00:09Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.977$4.94
11-02 00:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.956$2.09
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.3302152642$1.69
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.016$0.08
11-02 00:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.002$0.01
11-02 00:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.99$61.38
11-02 00:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?BUY0.005$0.02
11-01 23:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.95$4.79