0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5
- Realised P&L
- $158.3k
- Volume
- $3.39M
- Markets traded
- 57,212
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,212
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.8kat 0.320Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$28.5kat 0.979Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$23.1kat 0.014Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$15.8kat 0.024Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$14.8kat 0.018Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.25 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.26 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $20.02 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.12 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.0090376176 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $11.88 |
| 11-02 00:09 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.94 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.956 | $2.09 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3302152642 | $1.69 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.08 |
| 11-02 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $61.38 |
| 11-02 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.79 |