open0001
0x6a56ba3d12bf5c78219ed240a5fc48c97cd9be30
- Realised P&L
- $947.24
- Volume
- $317.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,769
- Open portfolio
- $13.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,769
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? · No | 0.653 | 0.900 | $12.78 | +$3.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.010 | $0.24 | −$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$3.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$524.30at 0.477Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
- +$275.22at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?
- +$175.38at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?
- +$174.45at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?
- +$164.15at 0.343Will Liquid Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.83 | $18.98 |
| 09-21 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.83 | $14.21 |
| 09-21 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.8341434846 | $11.39 |
| 09-21 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.05 |
| 09-21 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-21 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.57 |
| 09-21 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.40 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.4259275905 | $17.06 |
| 09-21 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.94 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5626838433 | $10.48 |
| 09-21 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4925 | $9.85 |
| 09-21 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.78 | $21.46 |
| 09-21 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.76 | $60.80 |
| 09-21 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.850994 | $42.55 |