Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 20?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-20
Resolves by: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.053. down 0.172 over the period, from 0.225. Range 0.005 to 0.225. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.063	10	10
0.064	10	20
0.065	20	40
0.069	11	51
0.072	12	63
0.074	10	73
0.075	10	83
0.077	10	93
0.100	20	113
0.117	21	134
0.120	78	212
0.127	5	217

Spread0.020Mid0.053

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.043	10	10
0.042	3	13
0.040	6	19
0.031	40	59
0.030	6	65
0.029	9	74
0.028	10	84
0.022	73	157
0.021	61	218
0.020	104	322
0.019	5	327
0.015	6	333

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.957	10	10
0.958	3	13
0.960	6	19
0.969	40	59
0.970	6	65
0.971	9	74
0.972	10	84
0.978	73	157
0.979	61	218
0.980	104	322
0.981	5	327
0.985	6	333

Spread0.020Mid0.947

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.937	10	10
0.936	10	20
0.935	20	40
0.931	11	51
0.928	12	63
0.926	10	73
0.925	10	83
0.923	10	93
0.900	20	113
0.883	21	134
0.880	78	212
0.873	5	217

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gghff	Yes	959.8
pickoverstalk2	Yes	394.96
0x65f7…8b98	Yes	228.01
hfv	Yes	183.35
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927	Yes	176.47
LornaPredicts	Yes	118.26
0x27066a9484C2A7ad5A0C6F85cDC778234985c6BE-1764743728015	Yes	79.5
m7dk2	Yes	76
LKFA	Yes	58.56
chajam	Yes	56
StayFreshCheeseBags	Yes	51.02
donthackme	Yes	47.58
fregdf12f	Yes	45.62
Tallguy2527	Yes	40
mustbethewater	Yes	35
0x4add…6fe5	Yes	33.2
kisadrakon	Yes	31.43
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	27.28
dp.	Yes	23.06
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:00:02	BUY	Yes	0.0600281137	17	$1.05
06:34:50	BUY	No	0.9571666667	12	$11.49
05:37:05	SELL	Yes	0.041	10	$0.41
05:00:03	BUY	Yes	0.0593880688	17	$1.02
04:44:44	BUY	No	0.9759999922	1	$1.00
04:40:50	BUY	Yes	0.0481927711	33	$1.60
03:42:03	SELL	Yes	0.0207163324	14	$0.29
03:41:47	SELL	Yes	0.0256666667	15	$0.39
03:41:32	SELL	Yes	0.0326190476	21	$0.68
03:39:33	BUY	Yes	0.03	20	$0.60
03:39:14	BUY	Yes	0.025	15	$0.38
03:38:54	BUY	Yes	0.024	5	$0.12
03:38:33	BUY	Yes	0.02	0	$0.00
03:38:17	BUY	Yes	0.02	50	$1.00
03:37:56	BUY	Yes	0.0084003203	50	$0.42
02:21:47	BUY	Yes	0.007	69	$0.48
02:16:59	BUY	No	0.995	4	$3.64
02:14:36	BUY	Yes	0.006	14	$0.08
02:10:45	SELL	Yes	0.005	10	$0.05
02:10:35	BUY	No	0.9963987261	16	$15.64
02:10:35	BUY	No	0.996	6	$6.14
00:10:47	BUY	No	0.9953598326	12	$11.89
00:10:47	BUY	No	0.996	10	$10.16
00:05:03	SELL	Yes	0.005	2	$0.01
00:01:26	SELL	Yes	0.004	2	$0.01