pickoverstalk2
0x6a977340efdb805d54159eef5f6de4206950395b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.5k
- Volume
- $628.7k
- Markets traded
- 5,265
- Open portfolio
- $312.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,265
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.14at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$415.62at 0.486Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?
- +$396.93at 0.396Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?
- +$349.88at 0.128Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$323.32at 0.162Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.75 |
| 10-18 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.648 | $5.70 |
| 10-18 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0518413202 | $1.63 |
| 10-18 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0197276667 | $1.18 |
| 10-18 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.0746504481 | $2.33 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.046449853 | $1.42 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.36 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2138784132 | $4.15 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0432893811 | $2.95 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1521766542 | $4.88 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.57 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.0646666667 | $1.94 |
| 10-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.41 |
| 10-18 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-18 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.0108082667 | $0.81 |