LKFA
0x23498989115b4c0ffcec95f57aeea6aa28211646
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $324.5k
- Markets traded
- 5,748
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,748
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.40at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?
- +$178.11at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
- +$154.12at 0.083Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?
- +$152.01at 0.023Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?
- +$145.37at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.13 |
| 10-01 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-01 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.03 |
| 10-01 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.09 |
| 10-01 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-01 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.72 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-01 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-01 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.72 |
| 10-01 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.26 |
| 10-01 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 10-01 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.38836 | $3.88 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |