PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dp.

0x1f0754eb8b460dc7df947014b617e51015717573

Realised P&L
$-694.30
Volume
$274.1k
Markets traded
3,295
Open portfolio
$4.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,295
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.1000.085$0.84$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0800.060$0.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0200.015$0.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.1100.055$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? · Yes0.0700.060$0.48$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 18? · Yes0.0020.001$0.24$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 19? · Yes0.0400.035$0.14$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 18? · Yes0.0040.001$0.12$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.0060.001$0.08$0.92
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.0100.001$0.04$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · Yes0.0200.001$0.03$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.010$0.02+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.0810.001$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:12Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19?SELL0.13$0.43
09-18 23:53Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.04$0.06
09-18 21:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20?SELL0.09$0.25
09-18 21:25Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19?SELL0.1$1.00
09-18 16:13Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 18?SELL0.001$0.00
09-12 12:30Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12?SELL0.95$4.05
09-12 07:50Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 12?SELL0.4$0.00
09-12 07:50Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 12?SELL0.4$1.95
09-12 05:45Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 12?SELL0.18$0.18
09-12 03:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12?SELL0.04$0.02
09-11 22:25Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?SELL0.99$2.97
09-11 19:40Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 11?SELL0.22$0.24
09-11 19:30Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 11?SELL0.35$0.66
09-11 18:48Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 11?SELL0.22$0.19
09-11 18:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 11?SELL0.17$0.85