PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=EPWA&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.36. Range 0.21 to 0.36. 21 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.224141
0.23117159
0.24281440
0.2593533
0.2628561
0.278569
0.2860629
0.2945674
0.3060734
0.3220754
0.3370825
0.3415840

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2155
0.205459
0.19507566
0.188574
0.17157731
0.1631762
0.11109870
0.0978948
0.08821,030
0.0551,035
0.0251,040
0.01321,072

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7955
0.805459
0.81507566
0.828574
0.83157731
0.8431762
0.89109870
0.9178948
0.92821,030
0.9551,035
0.9851,040
0.99321,072

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.784141
0.77117159
0.76281440
0.7593533
0.7428561
0.738569
0.7260629
0.7145674
0.7060734
0.6820754
0.6770825
0.6615840

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes125
mashuuuuYes78.76
TakeYourTemperatureYes75.19
KowalskiyYes60
ImBadAtMathYes54.59
a5533Yes50.42
0x28bc…c1b8Yes42.04
LucerysYes41.35
arsenal85Yes38.1
LoneForestWolfYes34.41
rocky42003Yes32
newbie147Yes30
0x0b88…63dfYes21.46
aaghkddYes21
cdi.botYes20.96
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
mustbethewaterYes20
nexttwoYes19.5
0x58ce…7be2Yes18.96
0xSPBBYes14.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:36:34BUYYes0.2211$2.40
01:17:10BUYYes0.23999997136$1.34
01:05:03BUYNo0.781$1.00
01:04:07BUYYes0.2410$2.41
01:00:24BUYYes0.23999996314$1.04
01:00:22BUYYes0.239999998142$10.09
01:00:22BUYNo0.7203439817279$200.75
00:00:45BUYNo0.715$3.55
20:37:25BUYNo0.6932$21.81
20:37:25BUYNo0.6933$23.01
20:37:25BUYNo0.7115$10.29
20:37:25BUYYes0.33999993883$1.00
20:37:25BUYNo0.6830$20.40
20:36:57BUYYes0.34074862675$1.77
20:36:12BUYYes0.368$2.74
20:36:12BUYYes0.342$0.64
20:36:10BUYYes0.345$1.70
20:36:10BUYYes0.3275$24.06
20:36:10BUYYes0.339999997134$11.70
20:36:10BUYYes0.33999989743$1.06
20:36:10BUYYes0.35999997123$1.00
20:36:10BUYYes0.33999999666$2.00
20:36:10BUYYes0.33999998554$1.41
20:36:10BUYYes0.33999993883$1.00
20:36:10BUYYes0.31610141599$3.00