ImBadAtMath
0x1e60d8a80fa1c49b4e5b3f7b0043ef1bc08fdd19
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $41.0k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.78at 0.262Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?
- +$178.98at 0.175Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?
- +$108.54at 0.638Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?
- +$66.87at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10?
- +$54.00at 0.325Will Chewy say "Holiday" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 05:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 08-29 05:16 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.82 |
| 08-29 01:22 | Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $82.85 |
| 08-26 22:50 | Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 08-26 14:42 | Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 14:08 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-26 14:08 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-26 12:11 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-26 10:03 | Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.68 | $26.69 |
| 08-26 10:03 | Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 08-26 10:02 | Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 08-26 08:00 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.05 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will Nvidia say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 08-26 02:35 | Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.31 |