PolyBot

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Traders

0x0b886a8a9a8f3d121dfb735c905b4c20daf163df

Realised P&L
$22.77
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$138.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 15:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.71$11.10
08-05 15:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.18$2.16
08-05 15:26Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.58$4.93
08-05 15:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.81$1.08
08-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.04$0.71
08-05 14:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.1$1.86
08-05 14:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.05$0.85
08-05 14:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.06$0.38
08-05 14:39Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.6033979686$6.53
08-05 14:38Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?SELL0.4090742857$7.16
08-05 14:37Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?SELL0.46$7.65
08-05 14:35Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?BUY0.43$8.56
08-05 14:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?SELL0.14$0.61
08-05 14:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?SELL0.1$0.66
08-05 14:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?SELL0.26$1.33