0x0b886a8a9a8f3d121dfb735c905b4c20daf163df
- Realised P&L
- $109.82
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $195.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.48at 0.381Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?
- +$36.11at 0.457Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9?
- +$31.27at 0.378Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 12?
- +$30.29at 0.095Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?
- +$29.20at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.415 | $4.15 |
| 09-20 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.07 |
| 09-20 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3846591708 | $5.47 |
| 09-20 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.11 |
| 09-20 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.31 |
| 09-20 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.32 |
| 09-20 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.85 |
| 09-20 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.10 |
| 09-20 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3803491925 | $8.71 |
| 09-20 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.49 | $8.86 |
| 09-20 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.46 | $8.78 |
| 09-19 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.11 |
| 09-19 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.78 | $9.87 |
| 09-19 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.74 |
| 09-19 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.60 |