PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T18:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.06 to 0.24. 26 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1455
0.15341346
0.1645391
0.1776467
0.1960527
0.2095622
0.2160682
0.2330713
0.26100813
0.27107920
0.3029948
0.364001,348

Spread0.03Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.116363
0.10134197
0.09472669
0.0859727
0.0741768
0.06117885
0.051201,005
0.042251,230
0.02201,250
0.01621,312

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.896363
0.90134197
0.91472669
0.9259727
0.9341768
0.94117885
0.951201,005
0.962251,230
0.98201,250
0.99621,312

Spread0.03Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8655
0.85341346
0.8445391
0.8376467
0.8160527
0.8095622
0.7960682
0.7730713
0.74100813
0.73107920
0.7029948
0.644001,348

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
rubby-always-winsYes364.91
televisionloudYes107.05
MurmurukYes72
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
WindollarYes40.45
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493Yes32.01
newbie147Yes30
hfvYes25.39
chasinbandsYes25
annaarfisaYes20
mustbethewaterYes19.78
dars007Yes15.11
BudgetDegen420Yes15
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes10.48
bhuumiYes10
riskaversedegenYes9.13
KowalskiyYes6
0x7b84Bd1a12AAc89CDe361a09a3176BE7ecB9a108-1773318878799Yes5
w9383Yes5
0xfc163bce897b5e993940889d6a6c2b88d414e212-1792453616109Yes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:25:09SELLYes0.111$0.11
08:12:39BUYYes0.1315$1.95
08:00:19BUYNo0.88999960841$1.00
05:01:46BUYNo0.882485$4.41
05:01:46BUYNo0.8730$26.10
05:01:45BUYNo0.878$7.06
00:54:21BUYNo0.8916$14.44
00:54:21BUYNo0.898$7.22
00:54:21BUYNo0.8930$26.34
23:40:03BUYYes0.1496633746149$22.23
23:20:04BUYYes0.15726027418$2.87
23:19:52BUYNo0.869999989510$9.12
23:00:07BUYYes0.175$0.85
23:00:03BUYYes0.168054917977$12.96
22:35:19BUYYes0.149999998637$5.50
22:20:03BUYYes0.142491655830$4.27
20:40:07BUYNo0.9220$18.40
20:40:07BUYNo0.91029126215$4.69
20:20:03BUYYes0.119999997416$1.88
20:13:30SELLYes0.0815$1.21
19:45:06BUYYes0.098708356313$1.32
19:34:39BUYYes0.073462204317$1.27
19:10:03BUYYes0.059999998425$1.52
19:10:03BUYNo0.9512$11.65
19:10:03BUYNo0.9510$9.50