chasinbands
0x496d65519e0b65ca8981e95c9d2b56d89793a2f2
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $414.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,443
- Open portfolio
- $306.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,443
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$407.10at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?
- +$272.14at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 16?
- +$236.60at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$228.66at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?
- +$227.11at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.72 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-17 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.56 |
| 09-16 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-16 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.04875 | $1.95 |
| 09-16 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 09-16 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |