chasinbands
0x496d65519e0b65ca8981e95c9d2b56d89793a2f2
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $485.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,305
- Open portfolio
- $314.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,305
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$407.10at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?
- +$272.14at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 16?
- +$236.60at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$228.66at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?
- +$227.11at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.05 |
| 11-02 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 11-02 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.70 |
| 11-02 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.90 |
| 11-01 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.42 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.30 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0253966373 | $1.32 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.25 |