BudgetDegen420
0x65e6f32a21c333f81c5292ea7235d96c63803289
- Realised P&L
- $-246.72
- Volume
- $35.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,389
- Open portfolio
- $285.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,389
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.99at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?
- +$30.83at 0.185Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 17?
- +$30.27at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?
- +$27.02at 0.578Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20?
- +$26.01at 0.317Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-20 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3383399734 | $10.19 |
| 09-20 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 09-20 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.54 | $13.63 |
| 09-20 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.991 | $16.88 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.60 |
| 09-20 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2889391046 | $13.62 |
| 09-20 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3669126274 | $11.88 |
| 09-20 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.99 | $64.93 |
| 09-20 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3620508744 | $4.55 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1618401937 | $4.01 |
| 09-20 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.15 |
| 09-20 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.13 |
| 09-20 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.57 |
| 09-20 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.17 |