w9383
0xc68707c2939345b233a8b003c8d3a39784edd557
- Realised P&L
- $9.13
- Volume
- $335.45
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $34.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.73at 0.687Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?
- +$4.73at 0.527Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?
- +$3.44at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?
- +$3.35at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?
- +$2.90at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-23 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-23 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-23 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-23 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-23 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.965214872 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-22 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-22 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-22 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-22 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-22 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |