0x7b84Bd1a12AAc89CDe361a09a3176BE7ecB9a108-1773318878799
0x7b84bd1a12aac89cde361a09a3176be7ecb9a108
- Realised P&L
- $-38.09
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $85.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.11at 0.090Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?
- +$12.11at 0.550Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
- +$9.36at 0.610Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
- +$8.90at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?
- +$8.23at 0.410Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:21 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 07-30 15:15 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 07-30 15:15 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 07-30 15:09 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 07-30 15:06 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:06 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 07-28 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.4599999537 | $3.18 |
| 07-28 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.4599999537 | $3.18 |
| 07-28 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.96 |
| 07-27 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.1699999681 | $4.05 |
| 07-25 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.4099999728 | $5.72 |
| 07-23 15:43 | LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs BIG - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |