PolyBot

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Traders

Windollar

0x194320cfd8a2f19a6591c1e401ed27d370494440

Realised P&L
$37.91
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$166.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? · No0.2901.000$6.84+$4.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 26? · No0.6001.000$5.20+$2.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? · No0.7701.000$5.20+$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.9300.991$5.10+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26? · No0.4901.000$5.05+$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 26? · No0.9601.000$5.05+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 26? · No0.9711.000$5.05+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 26? · No0.9701.000$5.05+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 26? · No0.9700.999$5.04+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26? · No0.9900.999$5.03+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 26? · No0.9500.997$5.03+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 26? · No0.9700.995$5.02+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 26? · No0.9700.985$5.01+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No0.8900.980$4.99+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No0.8300.980$4.95+$0.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 06:32Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.45$0.79
09-24 06:32Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.46$3.45
09-24 06:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?SELL0.67$6.37
09-24 06:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?SELL0.67$6.70
09-24 06:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.8670786516$19.58
09-24 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24?SELL0.82$11.07
09-24 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.86$11.61
09-24 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24?SELL0.63$15.75
09-24 06:29Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.64$16.00
09-24 06:24Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24?SELL0.4$3.60
09-24 06:24Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.42$3.78