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Traders

Murmuruk

0xe7fe243cedf4c0ae5a8d208c8508103c581e261e

Realised P&L
$-63.33
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
603
Open portfolio
$227.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded603
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 07:55Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 3?BUY0.042$0.22
11-02 07:12Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.18$0.90
11-02 06:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?SELL0.58$2.90
11-02 06:22Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?BUY0.55$5.50
11-02 06:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?SELL0.61$6.10
11-02 06:16Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 2?BUY0.11$0.55
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?BUY0.0435741834$2.21
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2?BUY0.57$2.85
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 3?BUY0.47$2.35
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 2?BUY0.116$0.58
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.72$3.60
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.7$3.50
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.65$6.50
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 3?BUY0.66$3.30
11-02 05:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?BUY0.0653333333$1.55