Murmuruk
0xe7fe243cedf4c0ae5a8d208c8508103c581e261e
- Realised P&L
- $-63.33
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 603
- Open portfolio
- $227.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded603
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.98at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?
- +$20.25at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 24?
- +$19.30at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?
- +$14.43at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 24?
- +$10.26at 0.244Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.22 |
| 11-02 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 11-02 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 11-02 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 11-02 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 11-02 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0435741834 | $2.21 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.116 | $0.58 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 11-02 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.0653333333 | $1.55 |