PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-15
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.30. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.22 to 0.38. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.327575
0.3353128
0.3426153
0.3667220
0.3820240
0.395245
0.4025270
0.4345315
0.4450365
0.4520386
0.4680466
0.4958524

Spread0.03Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.291212
0.284052
0.27100152
0.2684236
0.2539275
0.20150425
0.1828453
0.1547499
0.14341840
0.132011,041
0.12831,124
0.063001,424

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.711212
0.724052
0.73100152
0.7484236
0.7539275
0.80150425
0.8228453
0.8547499
0.86341840
0.872011,041
0.88831,124
0.943001,424

Spread0.03Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.687575
0.6753128
0.6626153
0.6467220
0.6220240
0.615245
0.6025270
0.5745315
0.5650365
0.5520386
0.5480466
0.5158524

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
elfoelfYes154.68
PintouOClimaYes86
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes66.66
0x65f7…8b98Yes63.54
fregdf12fYes44.49
0x37b7EfAe9FE7D3250106374E23b5732374B5a823-1779734279823Yes27.03
241532532432Yes25
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
PechaArtYes20
0x973Yes20
twobonclayYes19.46
lucikdemonYes19
weatherwhatYes17.69
0x2df1…59daYes15.15
ArnalWeatherYes13.88
Alcaraz2026Yes11.54
varuvermaYes10
Mmr6Yes7.25
riskaversedegenYes5.19
0x3e09…3501Yes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:25:39BUYYes0.317$2.25
22:10:09BUYYes0.316$1.86
21:10:09BUYYes0.3213$4.16
20:42:16SELLYes0.2925$7.25
18:11:36BUYNo0.692$1.38
17:31:57BUYYes0.3230502481155$49.97
17:25:18BUYNo0.728$19.60
16:53:16BUYYes0.35$1.50
15:56:46BUYNo0.728$19.60
15:53:18BUYYes0.35$1.50
15:40:07BUYNo0.741$1.00
15:22:45BUYNo0.7110$7.24
15:16:48BUYNo0.728$19.60
14:25:24BUYNo0.688$5.44
14:21:24BUYNo0.688$5.44
14:21:06BUYNo0.688$5.44
14:20:44BUYNo0.688$5.44
14:13:12BUYNo0.672$1.34
14:13:06SELLNo0.6620$13.20
13:12:42BUYYes0.2459343206322$79.20
13:12:42BUYYes0.3315$5.00
13:12:42BUYYes0.2619$5.06
13:12:42BUYYes0.259999989612$3.00
11:10:43BUYYes0.256$1.50
11:10:34BUYNo0.779999995430$23.70