PolyBot

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Traders

Mmr6

0xf8b309ad540205a090765515d27bf0765bd84798

Realised P&L
$-386.98
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$58.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14? · Yes0.2900.335$1.31+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14? · Yes0.1400.165$1.30+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 13? · Yes0.1400.160$1.26+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 13? · Yes0.1300.145$1.23+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14? · Yes0.2400.260$1.19+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 14? · Yes0.4200.455$1.19+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14? · Yes0.3200.345$1.18+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 14? · Yes0.2700.295$1.16+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13? · Yes0.1700.175$1.13+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 13? · Yes0.1400.130$1.11−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13? · Yes0.1100.110$1.10+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13? · Yes0.2100.225$1.10+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14? · Yes0.3100.310$1.10+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? · Yes0.2740.273$1.09−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 13? · Yes0.2800.275$1.08−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.29$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 14?BUY0.2$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 13?BUY0.15$0.75
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 13?BUY0.15$0.75
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.15$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.32$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.274$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13?BUY0.11$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.08$1.08
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?BUY0.31$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.23$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.17$1.20
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.27$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.18$1.10
10-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.19$1.10