PolyBot

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Traders

ArnalWeather

0x8de1ada629585a5fde78aae39b38337a60b9664f

Realised P&L
$-234.62
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
722
Open portfolio
$101.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded722
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 08:44Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?BUY0.44$5.00
10-08 07:57Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.31$4.56
10-07 08:22Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 7?BUY0.460403071$4.80
10-06 08:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6?BUY0.52$5.00
10-03 06:41Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 3?BUY0.42$4.83
10-02 08:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.29$2.90
10-01 08:17Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 1?BUY0.3025980755$4.09
09-30 08:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30?BUY0.2$5.13
09-25 08:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.4$4.99
09-23 08:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 23?BUY0.41$2.05
09-23 08:23Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 23?BUY0.14$4.34
09-23 08:23Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 23?BUY0.001$0.03
09-20 07:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.84$8.85
09-20 07:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.31$2.24
09-19 07:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 19?BUY0.94$9.95