PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elfoelf

0x21bf37cad28856988a5c7cf809147620cba1e840

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$608.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 16? · Yes0.3100.375$60.42+$10.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? · No0.6700.770$56.98+$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15? · No0.8700.930$53.39+$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15? · Yes0.3690.390$52.38+$2.77
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 15? · No0.8100.805$49.67−$0.31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15? · Yes0.3230.305$47.18−$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16? · Yes0.2450.225$45.74−$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 15? · No0.9400.945$40.07+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 16? · No0.4400.465$33.25+$1.79
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16? · No0.4090.425$32.34+$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 15? · Yes0.3260.185$29.41−$22.37
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on October 15? · No0.5600.630$21.42+$2.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15? · No0.6060.725$15.95+$2.61
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16? · Yes0.3800.385$15.40+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 15? · No0.7400.730$14.23−$0.20

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 15?BUY0.74$14.43
10-14 21:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15?BUY0.58$4.64
10-14 20:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 15?BUY0.24$1.80
10-14 20:10Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 15?BUY0.57$5.70
10-14 19:10Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 16?BUY0.44$31.46
10-14 19:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 15?BUY0.69$6.21
10-14 18:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?BUY0.42$13.86
10-14 17:32Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.3099999986$49.95
10-14 17:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15?BUY0.8699999993$49.95
10-14 17:32Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 15?BUY0.22$5.50
10-14 17:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?BUY0.3230502481$49.97
10-14 17:31Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?BUY0.3693961273$49.61
10-14 17:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 15?BUY0.81$49.98
10-14 17:31Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15?BUY0.67$49.58
10-14 17:31Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?BUY0.38$15.20