PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

varuverma

0x0c87de0bda12fb870500c56219ba0677792b98b1

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$1.99M
Markets traded
1,719
Open portfolio
$0.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,719
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.1000.002$0.03−$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1? · Yes0.0500.001$0.01−$0.99
Athens Open, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Hao-Ching Chan · Hao-Ching Chan0.0070.000$0.00−$4.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.7660.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.2140.000$0.00−$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.4340.000$0.00−$19.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4AM ET · Down0.0470.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 16? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.1470.000$0.00−$10.00
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot · Linda Fruhvirtova0.0100.000$0.00−$0.31
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala · Shuai Zhang0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 15:50Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?SELL0.989$9.01
10-23 11:46Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana ShnaiderSELL0.03$2.25
10-20 13:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.002$1.00
10-19 06:56Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.1$2.00
10-16 02:13Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?SELL0.999$9.99
10-16 02:13Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 15?SELL0.999$19.98
10-12 05:08Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?SELL0.999$9.37
10-05 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-04 19:33Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois BoissonSELL0.32$8.00
09-01 13:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?BUY0.002$0.02
08-28 18:35US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Mary StoianaBUY0.15$3.00
08-28 17:38US Open, Qualification WTA: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca AndreescuBUY0.146$14.60
08-22 14:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 22?BUY0.007$0.49
08-15 19:47Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana MariaSELL0.031$2.98
08-15 18:20Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla DayBUY0.17$2.55