PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3e09d6fdaff2db5f6dfad10781e9979bdba13501

Realised P&L
$-19.02
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
1,773
Open portfolio
$95.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,773
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14? · Yes0.5101.000$5.00+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15? · Yes0.2201.000$5.00+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13? · Yes0.3501.000$5.00+$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15? · Yes0.1601.000$5.00+$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 12? · Yes0.5201.000$5.00+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 13? · Yes0.4201.000$4.99+$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12? · Yes0.3601.000$4.91+$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.5700.640$3.20+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21? · Yes0.5300.630$3.15+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22? · Yes0.5100.610$3.05+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? · Yes0.4700.555$2.77+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.5100.555$2.77+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21? · Yes0.3800.535$2.67+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22? · Yes0.4500.485$2.42+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.5600.485$2.42$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:24Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.17$0.85
09-21 07:24Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 22?BUY0.13$0.65
09-21 07:24Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 22?BUY0.04$0.20
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.34$1.70
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.51$2.55
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.14$0.70
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?BUY0.08$0.40
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22?BUY0.38$1.90
09-21 05:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?BUY0.11$0.55
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.43$2.15
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.16$0.80
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.45$2.25
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.09$0.45
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 21?BUY0.02$0.10
09-20 22:22Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 21?BUY0.0929$0.46