PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RPLL&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T19:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.08 to 0.25. 41 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1655
0.179297
0.18146243
0.2136279
0.229288
0.2430318
0.3110328
0.3620348
0.3720368
0.4940408
0.506414
0.526420

Spread0.03Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.135656
0.12326381
0.0750431
0.0618449
0.0349498
0.0291589
0.0160649

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.875656
0.88326381
0.9350431
0.9418449
0.9749498
0.9891589
0.9960649

Spread0.03Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8455
0.839297
0.82146243
0.7936279
0.789288
0.7630318
0.6910328
0.6420348
0.6320368
0.5140408
0.506414
0.486420

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x3308…c27eYes142.67
habash2Yes139.45
yellowhpYes99.77
0x44f1...kk99kkYes97.17
hfvYes96.66
Lex-tangYes92.19
ZephyyrYes53.93
0x45E7f98a1f64c1e5Eea2fBYes50
newbie147Yes50
0xSPBBYes40.5
0x4add…6fe5Yes36.23
LucerysYes36.04
ventyclobYes28.04
gaaaydogggggYes21.6
whhiskyYes21.18
KowalskiyYes20
sunmoonstarYes19.8
HastaLaWheterBbyYes19.31
mustbethewaterYes16.56
bhuumiYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:36:28BUYYes0.1621$3.39
19:36:22BUYYes0.1623$3.68
19:29:01BUYNo0.875$4.35
19:29:01BUYNo0.830$0.30
19:29:01BUYNo0.8220$16.80
19:29:01BUYNo0.8220$16.40
19:29:00BUYNo0.829999999163$52.66
19:29:00BUYNo0.8313$10.62
19:29:00BUYNo0.826242312416$13.43
19:11:54BUYYes0.227$1.51
19:11:48BUYYes0.216219926813$2.86
18:01:33BUYNo0.841$1.00
13:10:16BUYYes0.1414$2.00
12:19:10BUYYes0.1699999786$1.08
12:19:09BUYYes0.160555552421$3.40
12:19:07BUYYes0.149072872254$8.04
05:04:52BUYYes0.120$1.98
05:04:13BUYYes0.095$0.45
03:20:01BUYYes0.139485437997$13.55
02:47:09BUYNo0.95$4.61
02:47:09BUYNo0.95$4.61
02:47:09BUYNo0.98$7.20
02:42:07BUYNo0.98$7.20
02:37:04BUYNo0.911$9.85
01:51:43BUYYes0.13950$6.95