0x16f9...fb16dd
0x5bb3c034a9078b5f3b2f91e0aa59e9cd03c42c94
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $406.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,122
- Open portfolio
- $11.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,122
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.180 | $11.60 | −$1.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$293.66at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 28?
- +$224.35at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?
- +$217.55at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 21?
- +$217.49at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?
- +$171.74at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2274266598 | $8.84 |
| 09-21 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.161953125 | $4.15 |
| 09-21 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 09-21 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.82 |
| 09-21 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.52 |
| 09-21 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 09-21 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 09-21 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | SELL | 0.4592928258 | $15.68 |
| 09-21 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.04 |
| 09-21 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.001524027 | $0.16 |
| 09-21 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.96 |
| 09-21 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.0420025013 | $1.68 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0192552817 | $2.19 |
| 09-21 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.0010437393 | $0.12 |