0xaa930fdc4caa3c0f6067404a7bd7899ca45f0bc7
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 8,545
- Open portfolio
- $765.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded8,545
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.106Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?
- +$729.96at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?
- +$662.29at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?
- +$612.23at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?
- +$606.56at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.59 | $20.00 |
| 11-02 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.95 |
| 11-02 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.42 |
| 11-02 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.19 |
| 11-02 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.92 |
| 11-02 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.1491582492 | $17.72 |
| 11-02 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $37.60 |
| 11-02 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $31.92 |
| 11-02 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 11-02 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.40 |
| 11-02 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.2037115847 | $5.93 |
| 11-02 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.1868381686 | $8.24 |
| 11-02 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.1023148148 | $2.21 |
| 11-02 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |