PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa930fdc4caa3c0f6067404a7bd7899ca45f0bc7

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
8,545
Open portfolio
$765.21

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded8,545
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2? · Yes0.2310.625$226.87+$143.01
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 3? · Yes0.4160.470$104.34+$11.86
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.3880.997$90.68+$55.38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 2? · Yes0.0290.243$80.30+$70.72
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3? · Yes0.2400.330$65.67+$17.91
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3? · Yes0.2000.330$62.04+$24.44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 3? · Yes0.0940.092$24.02−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3? · Yes0.5900.580$19.66−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3? · Yes0.6000.595$17.85−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3? · Yes0.1410.080$15.90−$12.22
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 3? · Yes0.1210.155$14.29+$3.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 3? · Yes0.1000.095$13.30−$0.70
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4900.630$10.50+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 2? · Yes0.4700.135$9.45−$23.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 3? · Yes0.0190.052$5.72+$3.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3?BUY0.59$20.00
11-02 17:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?BUY0.86$12.95
11-02 16:18Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?BUY0.09$3.42
11-02 16:18Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.005$0.19
11-02 16:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?SELL0.88$7.92
11-02 15:34Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on November 3?BUY0.1491582492$17.72
11-02 15:33Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?BUY0.2$37.60
11-02 15:15Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3?BUY0.24$31.92
11-02 15:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.37$3.70
11-02 15:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.4$8.40
11-02 14:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?SELL0.2037115847$5.93
11-02 14:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2?SELL0.1868381686$8.24
11-02 14:27Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?SELL0.1023148148$2.21
11-02 14:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.04
11-02 13:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.08