Lex-tang
0xaa930fdc4caa3c0f6067404a7bd7899ca45f0bc7
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $1.85M
- Markets traded
- 7,463
- Open portfolio
- $236.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,463
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.106Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?
- +$729.96at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?
- +$658.75at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?
- +$612.23at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?
- +$606.56at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.0918429453 | $4.32 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.1527363763 | $6.56 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.04 | $6.25 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.2025 | $4.05 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $43.50 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-17 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.0010515501 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 10:26 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-17 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.48 |
| 09-17 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.44 |
| 09-17 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.83 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.046613 | $9.32 |