sunmoonstar
0x37fb6844185272841a8cda87210708971310bb3f
- Realised P&L
- $-78.68
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $120.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.66at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$8.92at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$7.82at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?
- +$5.96at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$5.93at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $4.97 |
| 11-02 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999694 | $4.55 |
| 11-02 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2577171519 | $4.93 |
| 11-02 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.86 |
| 11-02 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.89 |
| 11-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.0584040387 | $1.96 |
| 11-01 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.0696257615 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.972 | $1.84 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.38 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.22 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9399999922 | $4.85 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $4.80 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.62 |