CloudyWithAChanceOfProfit1
0x78e5ac375306b1dc3e0a147f3b6ab2a99928965a
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $15.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.79at 0.478Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 2?
- +$137.10at 0.233Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11?
- +$83.24at 0.736Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?
- +$69.40at 0.595Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 31?
- +$66.47at 0.679Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-11 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.31 |
| 10-11 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2238674033 | $40.52 |
| 10-10 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $83.17 |
| 10-10 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.91 | $12.49 |
| 10-10 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.91 | $28.56 |
| 10-10 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.92 | $57.92 |
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9 | $88.88 |
| 10-10 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $33.66 |
| 10-10 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 10-10 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.81 | $19.88 |
| 10-10 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.37 |
| 10-10 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-10 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.77 |
| 10-10 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.63 |