PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on November 2?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=FACT&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T01:00:00Z&hours=30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.048. down 0.202 over the period, from 0.250. Range 0.022 to 0.250. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0565151
0.057960
0.060666
0.0642086
0.06620106
0.06730136
0.07217153
0.07426179
0.07810189
0.07910199
0.08018216
0.08130246

Spread0.016Mid0.048

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0409494
0.03459153
0.03261213
0.031157370
0.03061431
0.029345776
0.0206782
0.0156788
0.01310797
0.01210807
0.01082889
0.0011251,014

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9609494
0.96659153
0.96861213
0.969157370
0.97061431
0.971345776
0.9806782
0.9856788
0.98710797
0.98810807
0.99082889
0.9991251,014

Spread0.016Mid0.952

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9445151
0.943960
0.940666
0.9362086
0.93420106
0.93330136
0.92817153
0.92626179
0.92210189
0.92110199
0.92018216
0.91930246

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes584.34
hfvYes178.94
chasinbandsYes139.16
gghffYes91.74
sergo600Yes90
mashuuuuYes89.32
fregdf12fYes68.23
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes65.17
dp.Yes60.45
rocky42014Yes51.98
newbie147Yes50
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
2B9SYes42.76
0x64710Eac4D6297AaCbB48e863e83C0a5017bA762-1783339884232Yes35
Smallbet8Yes28.99
weather12345Yes26.25
0x27066a9484C2A7ad5A0C6F85cDC778234985c6BE-1764743728015Yes24.25
wolfprkm-1Yes24
GodofGamblers69Yes22.58
cleokuhnYes19.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:41:55BUYYes0.046$0.24
22:09:28BUYNo0.96099998012$1.50
22:09:27BUYNo0.96125$23.96
20:42:28BUYYes0.03720$0.74
20:38:09BUYYes0.036$0.18
20:37:49BUYYes0.0296$0.18
20:37:28BUYYes0.0299$0.26
20:36:30BUYYes0.02514$0.34
20:36:09BUYYes0.0245$0.12
20:35:49BUYYes0.0231$0.03
20:35:30BUYYes0.022999999943$1.00
16:46:45BUYNo0.97899999323$2.45
16:23:06SELLNo0.9718$7.77
16:11:58BUYYes0.025396637352$1.32
16:11:25BUYNo0.978592222245$44.04
16:11:25BUYNo0.98943$42.29
16:11:25BUYNo0.98890$88.62
16:11:25BUYYes0.04634$1.56
16:11:25BUYNo0.980685557644$42.91
16:11:25BUYNo0.9889$8.71
16:11:25BUYNo0.974340686320$19.88
16:11:25BUYNo0.96936$34.48
16:11:25BUYNo0.971104333330$29.13
15:12:06BUYNo0.9767$6.98
15:12:04BUYNo0.9767$6.90